0x5C0090Af0b4113F7a25258751BAb571fDd427a57-1776225430578
0xa97b19b8d5b34b9e3a90e8a4727558bce85f2a59
- Realised P&L
- $-71.94
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $24.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.408 | $12.38 | +$7.38 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.031 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.003 | $1.04 | −$3.96 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $0.23 | −$4.77 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.23 | −$1.77 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$4.90 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.98 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 08:22 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.004361724 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 08:22 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0109028163 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 08:21 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.024433686 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 08:21 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 08:20 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1649999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 08:20 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1163997384 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 15:26 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 07:19 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2879999916 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 07:12 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3159999959 | $50.00 |