montclair
0xa974fd00d65e27876a91393ce717a678e441b151
- Realised P&L
- $-160.60
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $151.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.012 | $151.00 | −$48.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-111.61at 0.188Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-20 02:45 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0116487718 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 02:39 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1555741745 | $538.48 |
| 01-08 20:23 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1878201432 | $650.09 |
| 01-08 19:19 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0250087276 | $100.00 |