0xa96d5aedc0290498646d52ac2875e6e0f00f1652
0xa96d5aedc0290498646d52ac2875e6e0f00f1652
- Realised P&L
- $0.77
- Volume
- $66.75
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? · No | 0.930 | 0.951 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13? · No | 0.460 | 0.310 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.33at 0.312Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?
- +$2.18at 0.323Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
- +$1.53at 0.405LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$1.28at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$1.12at 0.646Zhangjiagang: Bernard Tomic vs Kasidit Samrej
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.7249999819 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9589999722 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.2589999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.2949999572 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:13 | US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:13 | US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:12 | US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:42 | Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:33 | Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |