0xa96a1b2691d9ebb8b61989b47ddda6003689804f
0xa96a1b2691d9ebb8b61989b47ddda6003689804f
- Realised P&L
- $-62.49
- Volume
- $292.63
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.445 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.54 |
| Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.65at 0.386Will United States win on 2026-10-03?
- +$10.09at 0.677Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
- +$7.89at 0.574Will England win on 2026-10-03?
- +$1.16at 0.595Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
- +$-2.17at 0.119Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:50 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 23:56 | Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.2599999939 | $2.54 |
| 10-05 21:17 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.3099999685 | $2.95 |
| 10-05 10:20 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.559999972 | $1.60 |
| 10-04 18:16 | Will Haiti win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 17:50 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 23:47 | Will United States win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.3599999874 | $8.00 |
| 10-03 23:21 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 15:46 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 22:55 | Will Colombia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 22:54 | Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 00:54 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 00:44 | Will Nicaragua win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 00:43 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 00:12 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |