PolyBot

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Traders

Kaliman13

0xa96582b8392089a43d9f40302455287b9f8fd89d

Realised P&L
$-3.09
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$47.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.0500.038$3.09−$0.89
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0000.023$2.88+$2.88
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.575$2.80+$2.80
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.721$2.68+$2.68
Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.559$2.49+$2.49
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.805$1.96+$1.96
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.883$1.92+$1.92
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.690$1.86+$1.86
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1090.095$1.75−$0.25
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.006$1.63+$0.63
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · No0.0000.136$1.47+$1.47
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.374$1.44+$1.44
Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.480$1.41+$1.41
Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.175$1.35+$1.35
Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.0000.043$1.26+$1.26

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:38Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-12 18:32Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0989999912$1.00
10-12 18:31Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.3229999199$1.00
10-02 00:56Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-29 17:44Will Carlos Herrera Tello win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?SELL0.001$0.01
09-29 17:43Will Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?SELL0.001$0.02
09-29 17:43Will Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?SELL0.002$0.03
09-29 17:43Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?SELL0.03$0.07
09-29 17:42Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?SELL0.044$0.11
09-29 17:42Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?SELL0.065$0.34
09-29 17:41Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?SELL0.052$0.61
09-29 17:41Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?SELL0.007$0.41
09-29 17:40Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?BUY0.4464285714$1.00
09-29 17:38Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?SELL0.21$0.84
09-29 17:36Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.0441176464$1.00