jayG8
0xa9627cd7b190d4d3547840ccd76e39d819ee8978
- Realised P&L
- $-18.1k
- Volume
- $396.4k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.427Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$971.59at 0.607Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$844.77at 0.276Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$721.81at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$687.95at 0.560Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 00:23 | Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-23 00:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-23 00:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-07 04:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.402474373 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 01:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4059999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-15 02:56 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2249999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 02:53 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 08:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.173 | $336.47 |
| 07-12 10:14 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.4501757335 | $738.97 |
| 07-12 10:14 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-12 10:13 | Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2784919858 | $318.66 |
| 07-12 10:10 | Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.28 | $320.38 |
| 07-12 10:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $297.57 |
| 07-12 10:09 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.4527940506 | $743.27 |
| 07-12 10:09 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999996 | $500.00 |