PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jayG8

0xa9627cd7b190d4d3547840ccd76e39d819ee8978

Realised P&L
$-18.1k
Volume
$396.4k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.6030.285$472.46$527.54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4020.350$434.81$65.19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5620.305$271.43$228.56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4990.046$46.05$453.95
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$400.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$100.00
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$50.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$600.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.4290.000$0.00$1.5k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$1.1k
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8200.000$0.00$1000.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? · No0.6130.000$0.00$800.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? · Yes0.5590.000$0.00$300.00
Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? · Down0.2200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 00:23Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)BUY0.5599999996$500.00
08-23 00:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899999997$500.00
08-23 00:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899999997$500.00
08-07 04:32Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.402474373$500.00
07-18 01:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4059999998$1000.00
07-15 02:56Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2249999985$100.00
07-15 02:53Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.5499999996$500.00
07-14 08:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.173$336.47
07-12 10:14Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.4501757335$738.97
07-12 10:14Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.5499999996$500.00
07-12 10:13Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2784919858$318.66
07-12 10:10Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.28$320.38
07-12 10:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.187$297.57
07-12 10:09Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.4527940506$743.27
07-12 10:09Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3299999996$500.00