PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hsjd

0xa95abed44d2aab0aa5ed96dea955c953f5a0cdf8

Realised P&L
$-30.74
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$1.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.185$1.85$2.65
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 18? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 14? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.40
Ethereum Up or Down on April 15? · Up0.6600.000$0.00$1.50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? · No0.8450.000$0.00$22.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 03:49Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$11.00
08-18 09:25Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?BUY0.999$11.00
08-18 09:22Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$4.50
07-08 07:25Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.9989999687$15.50
06-14 02:50Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?BUY0.9989999892$85.00
06-07 03:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?BUY0.999$85.40
05-29 08:05Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.999$85.30
05-25 01:50Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.999$85.20
05-17 07:58Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.999$85.10
05-13 09:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?BUY0.9989999892$85.00
05-11 08:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?BUY0.9989999891$84.99
05-08 02:59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$84.90
04-29 07:20Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.9989999986$84.80
04-25 09:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?BUY0.9989999981$84.75
04-20 09:15Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.999$84.67