nilfa246
0xa94c8570532e78045ecf319c1f1411f5d7bf930e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.33
- Volume
- $363.55
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $13.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.041 | $10.92 | +$4.99 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.206 | $2.29 | −$1.71 |
| Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.70at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?
- +$0.65at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 12:56 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | BUY | 0.5 | $24.31 |
| 07-20 21:44 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0222635714 | $5.93 |
| 07-20 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $5.75 |
| 07-20 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 20:05 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3609999557 | $4.00 |