PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nilfa246

0xa94c8570532e78045ecf319c1f1411f5d7bf930e

Realised P&L
$-5.33
Volume
$363.55
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$13.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.0220.041$10.92+$4.99
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3610.206$2.29$1.71
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$24.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 12:56Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?BUY0.5$24.31
07-20 21:44Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0222635714$5.93
07-20 21:18Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?BUY0.4$10.00
07-20 20:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSELL0.92$5.75
07-20 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.8$5.00
07-20 20:05Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3609999557$4.00