PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

koao

0xa935f4fe6d6e0c6bc37d3f361309c27624bae865

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$144.2k
Markets traded
373
Open portfolio
$171.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded373
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8900.885$88.50−$0.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.525$52.50−$0.50
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next? · Yes0.3600.060$12.10−$59.90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5800.515$10.30−$1.30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1800.275$7.64+$2.64
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? · Yes0.3400.014$0.70−$16.30
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$6.20
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.01
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.89$89.00
10-29 07:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.58$11.60
10-29 07:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.53$53.00
10-29 07:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
08-07 04:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.29$14.50
08-07 04:54Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.53$26.50
08-07 03:42Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.61$1.22
08-07 03:42Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.6044444444$10.88
08-07 03:23Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.73$21.90
08-07 03:10Will "Tony" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.14$7.00
08-07 02:13Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?SELL0.321$6.38
08-06 08:01Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.16$8.00
08-05 09:05Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.516213$25.81
08-05 09:04Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.22$11.00
08-05 03:40Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.1$5.00