koao
0xa935f4fe6d6e0c6bc37d3f361309c27624bae865
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $144.2k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $171.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.885 | $88.50 | −$0.50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $52.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.060 | $12.10 | −$59.90 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.515 | $10.30 | −$1.30 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.275 | $7.64 | +$2.64 |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.014 | $0.70 | −$16.30 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.30at 0.590Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.500MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$15.80at 0.842Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
- +$15.00at 0.500No airdrop in 2025?
- +$10.00at 0.360US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-29 07:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 10-29 07:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 10-29 07:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 04:58 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-07 04:54 | Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 08-07 03:42 | Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.22 |
| 08-07 03:42 | Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.6044444444 | $10.88 |
| 08-07 03:23 | Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 08-07 03:10 | Will "Tony" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 08-07 02:13 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | SELL | 0.321 | $6.38 |
| 08-06 08:01 | Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 09:05 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.516213 | $25.81 |
| 08-05 09:04 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 08-05 03:40 | Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |