koao
0xa935f4fe6d6e0c6bc37d3f361309c27624bae865
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $143.6k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $132.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.30at 0.590Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.500MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$15.80at 0.842Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
- +$15.00at 0.500No airdrop in 2025?
- +$10.00at 0.360US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:00 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.06 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.50 |
| 08-02 02:08 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.2698 | $13.49 |
| 08-02 01:25 | Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-02 01:23 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-01 07:19 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.737 | $3.15 |
| 08-01 05:41 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July? | SELL | 0.136 | $6.80 |
| 08-01 05:33 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 08-01 02:00 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 14:04 | Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.4854456 | $24.27 |
| 07-31 14:03 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.496 | $24.80 |
| 07-31 07:16 | Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 07-31 07:16 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.09040008 | $4.52 |
| 07-31 06:23 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | SELL | 0.075222 | $3.76 |
| 07-31 06:19 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |