0xa92fab9494fc6FcC16A545570f2900C5A91d7f54-1781029214272
0xa92fab9494fc6fcc16a545570f2900c5a91d7f54
- Realised P&L
- $-1.99
- Volume
- $208.07
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $4.85 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.400 | $2.00 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.27at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?
- +$8.41at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?
- +$6.33at 0.578Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?
- +$3.98at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16?
- +$2.34at 0.532Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-22 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-21 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-21 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-21 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-21 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-21 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-21 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-21 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-20 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-20 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-20 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.90 |
| 09-19 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |