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0xa928ac7d7b7ec4da2b829433d84eeb7a1ada9575
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $287.3k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.513 | 0.475 | $1.5k | −$122.67 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.855 | $798.00 | +$322.00 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) · Ravens | 0.570 | 0.001 | $2.63 | −$3.0k |
| Raiders vs. Jets · Jets | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$185.12 |
| Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee · Delaware | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina · Coastal Carolina | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$373.52 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.519 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Lakers vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spread: Indiana (-20.5) · Indiana | 0.424 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Patriots | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$992.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.120Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
- +$1.5kat 0.577Spread: Packers (-14.5)
- +$1.4kat 0.522Devils vs. Avalanche
- +$1.4kat 0.35076ers vs. Knicks
- +$1.4kat 0.422Red Wings vs. Oilers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:27 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5134224101 | $1.6k |
| 11-01 18:02 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.54 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 15:27 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.51 | $476.00 |
| 11-01 10:23 | Spread: Bills (-4.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 02:16 | UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5599999998 | $966.92 |
| 11-01 02:08 | Texas State vs. Boise State: O/U 61.5 | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 02:08 | Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5289057123 | $725.00 |
| 10-31 23:26 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 23:26 | Spread: Ohio State (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 19:48 | Spread: Indiana (-20.5) | BUY | 0.4239666006 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 19:46 | Spread: Georgia (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 19:45 | Spread: Texas Tech (-3.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 10-31 19:39 | Spread: Oregon (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5646070242 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 15:46 | Wisconsin vs. Iowa | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-31 15:45 | Wisconsin vs. Iowa | BUY | 0.56 | $994.36 |