672530531f
0xa91e729591746c4260d22b5e417a15a54303152a
- Realised P&L
- $-198.88
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $6.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astra removed from public access by September 30? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.039 | $6.02 | −$1.70 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.34 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-9.50at 0.002Arsenal wins the Premier League?
- +$-10.48at 0.100US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
- +$-43.33at 0.892Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:11 | Astra removed from public access by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.72 |
| 09-04 18:58 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.126942984 | $7.15 |
| 09-03 19:40 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8879999851 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 18:03 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0629999985 | $37.98 |
| 06-30 19:49 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $46.74 |
| 06-07 23:23 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $19.63 |
| 05-13 20:57 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.1882026601 | $30.00 |
| 02-21 00:10 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.48 |
| 04-22 21:30 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.002 | $19.00 |