dlb69
0xa9103392f222af1fb69c540a8170834d7d9d12c3
- Realised P&L
- $-368.01
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $45.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.162 | $19.67 | +$1.07 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $13.02 | −$0.77 |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.036 | $10.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.041 | $2.02 | −$6.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.00at 0.160Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$101.15at 0.240Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
- +$78.90at 0.21049ers vs. Rams
- +$57.00at 0.310Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$56.73at 0.351Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:13 | Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.0899999995 | $13.79 |
| 10-11 05:10 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 05:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1789999991 | $13.60 |
| 05-02 14:58 | Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.279 | $3.35 |
| 02-09 00:02 | Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.29 |
| 02-08 23:46 | Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.5150554643 | $40.00 |
| 01-07 23:28 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $22.00 |
| 12-20 02:53 | Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | BUY | 0.0339999965 | $9.25 |
| 12-20 02:53 | Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | BUY | 0.1059999912 | $10.00 |
| 12-16 23:54 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.5299999994 | $125.00 |
| 12-16 23:53 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SELL | 0.7 | $17.50 |
| 11-16 03:00 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 11-12 20:30 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.233596 | $23.36 |
| 11-02 04:10 | Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.21 | $7.56 |
| 11-02 00:27 | Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |