0xa90c20f8703945eeb6d071fd7a3343e36ae58f72
0xa90c20f8703945eeb6d071fd7a3343e36ae58f72
- Realised P&L
- $1.20
- Volume
- $223.45
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $9.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.485 | $2.94 | +$0.94 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.993 | $2.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.895 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.230 | $1.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$1.66at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:01 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 02:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:25 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6699999758 | $1.94 |
| 09-19 05:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 20:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 00:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 00:12 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 02:12 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:46 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 02:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |