19nzekyp3sob
0xa90af3e6de05a2cdb24469f1cf188394a019523f
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $119.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,506
- Open portfolio
- $1.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,506
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.002 | $1.61 | −$23.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.126US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$938.43at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$784.06at 0.017US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$661.12at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$486.54at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999424 | $3.77 |
| 04-12 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4775602877 | $42.54 |
| 04-12 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4886350844 | $16.58 |
| 04-12 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999169 | $1.92 |
| 04-12 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $9.57 |
| 04-12 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999774 | $3.93 |
| 04-12 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $0.92 |
| 04-12 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.55 |
| 04-12 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999892 | $14.86 |
| 04-12 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999919 | $9.94 |
| 04-12 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.23 |
| 04-12 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4637109931 | $46.32 |
| 04-12 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4720922497 | $22.06 |
| 04-12 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.41 |
| 04-12 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999953 | $34.04 |