PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

david-anqi

0xa9094b61c2489514a0da52c7418c08e391466bad

Realised P&L
$-92.75
Volume
$640.0k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$9.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0110.022$2.77+$1.42
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · Yes0.1730.046$2.71−$7.48
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0590.011$1.17−$4.79
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · Yes0.0780.016$0.77−$2.98
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0190.003$0.61−$4.17
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0600.009$0.59−$3.59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? · Yes0.0370.002$0.21−$4.89
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0340.011$0.12−$0.23
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0210.002$0.10−$1.27
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.07−$2.01
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0100.001$0.07−$1.28
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0350.002$0.02−$0.50
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0230.001$0.01−$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-17 06:31Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 06:26Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 06:08Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 05:47Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 05:17Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 05:06Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 04:51Will Alex Caruso win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.019$12.35
12-17 04:46Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.065$1.66
12-17 04:36Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?BUY0.007$1.46
12-17 04:29Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.064$8.00
12-17 04:18Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.043$1.09
12-17 04:16Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.013$1.84
12-17 04:12Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 04:08Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?BUY0.033$1.65
12-17 03:45Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.007$2.31