kuisila
0xa9053fc5db0275b1bb25650fa41438818fbd559e
- Realised P&L
- $50.51
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.951 | $2.2k | −$44.79 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.947 | $1.4k | −$5.05 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.930 | $465.24 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.04at 0.734Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$35.71at 0.832Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$-2.59at 0.402Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$-2.59at 0.402Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$-3.35at 0.402Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 06:41 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.969973913 | $2.2k |
| 10-28 06:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $744.27 |
| 10-28 06:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $464.99 |
| 10-28 06:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.4k |
| 10-15 15:57 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $483.16 |
| 10-15 15:57 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.90964 | $454.82 |
| 10-06 12:43 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.38 | $29.23 |
| 10-06 12:41 | Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.37 | $28.46 |
| 10-06 12:40 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.38 | $29.23 |
| 10-06 12:38 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-06 12:34 | Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-06 12:33 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-06 02:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $395.31 |
| 10-06 02:34 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $103.50 |