0xA8fB2E2a61059B5d0D4Ab220526CB1b5179Ef73d-1783087505408
0xa8fb2e2a61059b5d0d4ab220526cb1b5179ef73d
- Realised P&L
- $45.15
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $56.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? · No | 0.875 | 1.000 | $28.27 | +$3.53 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.855 | 0.996 | $21.27 | +$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? · Yes | 0.802 | 0.975 | $3.63 | +$0.64 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.915 | $1.90 | +$0.84 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? · No | 0.250 | 0.120 | $0.71 | −$0.77 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? · No | 0.638 | 0.025 | $0.40 | −$9.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? · No | 0.339 | 0.004 | $0.04 | −$3.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.61at 0.339Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$56.69at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$47.88at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$43.43at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$37.90at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.48 |
| 09-21 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.091 | $0.45 |
| 09-21 10:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.855999998 | $16.83 |
| 09-21 09:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9699999927 | $2.67 |
| 09-21 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.8449999149 | $1.44 |
| 09-21 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.8019999592 | $2.99 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.917 | $10.62 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.8849999772 | $18.63 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9169999375 | $1.16 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.8983850836 | $14.61 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.898999957 | $1.84 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.8989999713 | $1.85 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.831999988 | $5.56 |
| 09-21 08:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.509999846 | $1.06 |
| 09-21 08:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.5465479125 | $12.09 |