PolyBot

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Traders

0xa8f9e522a0bc214934ea4637d5010d1bc37d2573

0xa8f9e522a0bc214934ea4637d5010d1bc37d2573

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$137.3k
Markets traded
274
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded274
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.5920.545$511.35−$44.23
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.5400.565$257.65+$11.40
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.7300.715$156.86−$3.19
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8090.915$137.25+$15.88
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4940.715$79.36+$24.54
Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election? · Yes0.8160.875$61.46+$4.11
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? · Yes0.5700.560$56.00−$1.00
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.8320.968$29.02+$4.08
Vanta IPO before 2027? · No0.8400.990$19.80+$3.00
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.9050.972$19.43+$1.33
Deel IPO before 2027? · No0.7900.996$18.81+$3.88
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.3600.455$17.41+$3.63
Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria? · Yes0.0300.205$13.19+$11.26
Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? · Yes0.3000.300$12.00+$0.00
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.6270.977$11.20+$4.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 13:22Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?BUY0.9838421927$296.14
09-21 03:01Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?BUY0.5489795918$26.90
09-21 03:01Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?BUY0.528962963$71.41
09-20 20:52Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?BUY0.4021866787$97.94
09-20 20:50Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?BUY0.3$17.14
09-20 20:47Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?BUY0.37$7.40
09-20 20:46Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?BUY0.0438703606$10.02
09-20 20:41Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?BUY0.256$64.00
09-20 20:35Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?BUY0.0208268201$5.17
09-20 20:33Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?BUY0.2657142857$93.00
09-20 04:46Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?BUY0.795$7.95
09-20 02:56Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.54$246.25
09-19 16:03Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?BUY0.8015314717$785.06
09-19 01:08Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?BUY0.0968368667$145.26
09-18 23:49Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?BUY0.3$12.00