PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ygkvgb

0xa8efeadd0607f7b6700da9e5d7ecabf3a2f6335d

Realised P&L
$-187.24
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$23.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19? · No0.9480.998$23.80+$1.18
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2500.000$0.00$258.08
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5 · Under0.3730.000$0.00$137.43
Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$2.12
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.51
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1000.000$0.00$45.93
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$18.30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 2 above $450? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$16.28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6? · Yes0.5090.000$0.00$138.11
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00$47.79
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$8.23
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$6.76
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$5.02
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-29? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.53
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$24.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-28 08:57Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be between $405,000 and $410,000 on April 1?BUY0.12$87.60
03-27 06:36Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?BUY0.16$47.79
03-26 15:11Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-29?BUY0.02$2.53
03-25 22:32Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?BUY0.31$197.43
03-25 06:15Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?BUY0.017$2.12
03-24 22:37Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 27 be less than 2,600,000?BUY0.046$6.10
03-22 04:44Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.09$24.10
03-20 00:24Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5BUY0.25$258.08
03-17 10:48Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5BUY0.1$45.93
03-16 09:08Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5BUY0.21$77.05
03-08 08:21Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5BUY0.26$79.05
02-20 16:35Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be less than 1,800,000?BUY0.031$8.70
02-20 14:39Will Ayano Sato (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.025$4.43
02-19 14:16Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.024$3.51
02-18 18:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21?BUY0.104$18.30