BoldStoryteller99977
0xa8ed6c2cc2ae7560a0c3c6163424e186e6cfa08e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.12
- Volume
- $131.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $0.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? · No | 0.980 | 0.032 | $0.28 | −$8.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.35at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 8?
- +$0.24at 0.908Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?
- +$0.19at 0.979Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
- +$0.18at 0.980Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 16?
- +$0.16at 0.920Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 09:03 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $8.63 |
| 08-07 06:48 | Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $8.85 |
| 07-23 05:56 | French election called by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.98 |
| 06-07 07:55 | Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30? | BUY | 0.9849999975 | $3.92 |
| 05-18 05:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 21? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.71 |
| 05-18 05:35 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.03 |
| 05-14 09:13 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.985999894 | $9.00 |
| 04-06 04:58 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.96 |
| 03-17 08:29 | Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31? | BUY | 0.9789999994 | $8.77 |
| 03-17 08:28 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $8.77 |
| 02-06 15:54 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999983 | $8.83 |
| 01-30 03:48 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.82 |
| 01-30 03:19 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.925 | $8.82 |
| 01-12 10:07 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9239999954 | $8.81 |
| 12-18 05:11 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 15 above $245? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.73 |