PolyBot

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Traders

svaeboy

0xa8eb1da0b02ba182641902d4b68c2fb341ada62e

Realised P&L
$59.79
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$224.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 21? · Yes0.7900.790$15.80+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20? · No0.8300.790$15.80−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 20? · No0.7400.690$13.80−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20? · No0.8800.660$13.20−$4.40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 21? · No0.6900.585$11.70−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20? · No0.6100.510$10.20−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20? · No0.6300.495$9.90−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20? · No0.6500.570$9.77−$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21? · No0.6900.480$9.60−$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20? · No0.5500.475$9.50−$1.50
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20? · Yes0.1800.395$7.90+$4.30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 21? · Yes0.5000.520$7.32+$0.28
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21? · Yes0.3300.310$6.20−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 21? · Yes0.3500.305$6.10−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 21? · Yes0.3200.305$6.10−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 07:13Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 20?SELL0.991$19.82
10-20 06:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?SELL0.988$19.76
10-19 23:03Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19?SELL0.99$5.00
10-19 17:54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?SELL0.999$19.98
10-19 17:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?SELL0.999$19.98
10-19 17:54Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?SELL0.999$19.98
10-19 17:54Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 19?SELL0.999$19.98
10-19 17:53Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?SELL0.999$19.98