0xthe0
0xa8e4b623d8241ac66ec172813f7298015bc05364
- Realised P&L
- $-236.01
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.12at 0.340Will Solana dip to $80 in February?
- +$112.50at 0.499MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$35.56at 0.360Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
- +$19.07at 0.430Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$18.86at 0.570Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 01:19 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 07-17 01:19 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.38 | $608.00 |
| 02-13 06:54 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.502565014 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 03:41 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | SELL | 0.0515586195 | $30.10 |
| 02-08 19:22 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | BUY | 0.088999996 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 18:50 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | BUY | 0.0835336482 | $30.00 |
| 02-08 18:39 | Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8? | BUY | 0.3201536738 | $100.00 |
| 02-07 19:34 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3494947903 | $200.00 |
| 02-02 03:59 | Will Solana dip to $80 in February? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 03:58 | Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | BUY | 0.2379328381 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 03:57 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.78 | $312.49 |
| 01-28 08:13 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7199899199 | $100.00 |
| 12-19 19:54 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 12-18 23:59 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $50.00 |
| 12-18 23:49 | Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3271959272 | $50.00 |