PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xthe0

0xa8e4b623d8241ac66ec172813f7298015bc05364

Realised P&L
$-236.01
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3960.310$1.0k−$290.12
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3490.150$85.84−$114.16
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1360.025$18.35−$81.65
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3270.067$10.24−$39.76
Knicks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Cowboys vs. Raiders · Raiders0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Hurricanes vs. Sabres · Hurricanes0.6300.000$0.00−$15.00
Hawks vs. Spurs · Hawks0.5080.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? · $3k0.2380.000$0.00−$100.00
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.50
Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Patriots0.4800.000$0.00−$15.00
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$50.00
Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 231.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 01:19Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.38$9.50
07-17 01:19Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.38$608.00
02-13 06:54Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.502565014$100.00
02-09 03:41Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?SELL0.0515586195$30.10
02-08 19:22Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY0.088999996$20.00
02-08 18:50Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY0.0835336482$30.00
02-08 18:39Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?BUY0.3201536738$100.00
02-07 19:34Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.3494947903$200.00
02-02 03:59Will Solana dip to $80 in February?BUY0.3399999978$100.00
02-02 03:58Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?BUY0.2379328381$100.00
02-02 03:57MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.78$312.49
01-28 08:13EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7199899199$100.00
12-19 19:54Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.2799999969$50.00
12-18 23:59Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.3799999964$50.00
12-18 23:49Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.3271959272$50.00