PolyBot

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Traders

ElonMusksQueef

0xa8e0ceb5f331e79f54530a789f6d6502c9bf70e2

Realised P&L
$-167.76
Volume
$61.1k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8300.956$375.04+$49.26
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6600.735$334.09+$34.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5400.825$330.00+$114.00
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.3150.115$308.61$535.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7700.991$257.28+$57.28
Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yes0.9070.000$0.00$152.00
Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ? · No0.7460.000$0.00$123.84
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$83.98
Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ? · No0.7000.000$0.00$350.00
Kash Patel out by July 31? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$155.63
Will Starmer say "Defense" during the next PMQ? · No0.5000.000$0.00$65.87
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yes0.8010.000$0.00$100.00
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.1270.000$0.00$104.72
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.3680.000$0.00$77.25
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · No0.2800.000$0.00$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 19:14Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.2289108799$292.36
08-10 22:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.54$216.00
08-10 20:22Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6599999993$300.00
08-06 20:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7699999995$200.00
08-06 20:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.89$200.00
08-06 15:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.82$164.00
08-06 15:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.68$271.99
08-04 13:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.69$46.80
08-04 13:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.83$166.00
07-30 13:46Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.3$66.90
07-30 13:45Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?SELL0.99$34.18
07-25 19:38Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.83$125.34
07-25 19:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.992$396.80
07-19 13:45Kash Patel out by July 31?BUY0.058667442$100.00
07-19 13:45Kash Patel out by July 31?BUY0.045$0.95