ElonMusksQueef
0xa8e0ceb5f331e79f54530a789f6d6502c9bf70e2
- Realised P&L
- $-167.76
- Volume
- $61.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$370.97at 0.794Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$260.98at 0.662Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?
- +$175.41at 0.852Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
- +$142.75at 0.800Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$134.49at 0.015Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 19:14 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.2289108799 | $292.36 |
| 08-10 22:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $216.00 |
| 08-10 20:22 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $300.00 |
| 08-06 20:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 20:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 15:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 08-06 15:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.68 | $271.99 |
| 08-04 13:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $46.80 |
| 08-04 13:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $166.00 |
| 07-30 13:46 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3 | $66.90 |
| 07-30 13:45 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $34.18 |
| 07-25 19:38 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.83 | $125.34 |
| 07-25 19:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $396.80 |
| 07-19 13:45 | Kash Patel out by July 31? | BUY | 0.058667442 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 13:45 | Kash Patel out by July 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.95 |