PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xA8dCef206F432d8a764BaCeC8f204F45852840d0-1771417236759

0xa8dcef206f432d8a764bacec8f204f45852840d0

Realised P&L
$-161.19
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$25.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0820.043$8.51$7.49
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0970.050$8.22$7.78
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · Yes0.0250.032$5.06+$1.06
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0410.036$3.59$0.41
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5200.000$0.00$12.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$12.00
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score · No0.4100.000$0.00$3.93
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$12.00
Hawks vs. Knicks · Hawks0.3200.000$0.00$0.98
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$12.00
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$12.00
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$12.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? · No0.4400.000$0.00$12.00
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$12.00
Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to Score · No0.5600.000$0.00$3.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 14:11UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.69$4.00
07-17 14:11UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.8099999838$4.00
05-26 20:38Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?BUY0.1899999894$12.00
05-26 20:38Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.1934734941$12.00
05-26 20:38Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY0.100830315$12.00
05-26 20:38Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?BUY0.1699999889$12.00
05-26 20:14Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0537386842$12.00
05-26 20:14Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?BUY0.042001106$12.00
05-26 20:14Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?BUY0.1$12.00
05-26 20:14Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0820458997$12.00
05-17 14:13Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999944$4.00
05-17 13:58Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY0.25$12.00
05-17 13:58Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.2699999863$12.00
05-17 13:58Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5199999809$12.00
05-17 13:58Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.4399999839$12.00