PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xalxkallio

0xa8dc59656782581d3076679b36b8981223547d5f

Realised P&L
$28.69
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$7.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4180.065$5.13$27.87
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2990.044$1.44$8.24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.3230.034$1.35$11.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0130.005$0.07$0.12
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 19? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.2450.000$0.00$4.90
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.08
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 14? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.09
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.99
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$7.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$4.80
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 08:57Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 21?BUY0.094$0.52
09-18 09:02Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18?BUY0.009$0.05
09-16 17:36Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.08$1.04
09-14 09:01Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 14?BUY0.011$0.17
09-11 14:12Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 11?BUY0.032$0.32
09-10 12:59Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?BUY0.48$4.80
09-10 12:58Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 10?BUY0.207$2.07
09-10 09:11Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?BUY0.33$1.65
09-10 07:58Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 10?BUY0.018$1.01
09-04 08:38Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 4?BUY0.09$1.08
08-29 12:15Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.177$3.54
08-27 04:50Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.442$2.65
08-26 08:47Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.36$5.40
08-26 08:45Will USD fall to 1.8M Iranian rials by August 31?SELL0.02141$1.07
08-13 12:34Will USD fall to 1.8M Iranian rials by August 31?BUY0.3$4.50