0xalxkallio
0xa8dc59656782581d3076679b36b8981223547d5f
- Realised P&L
- $28.69
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $7.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.17at 0.264Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
- +$23.64at 0.308Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?
- +$23.34at 0.429Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$17.37at 0.208Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?
- +$16.11at 0.184Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 21? | BUY | 0.094 | $0.52 |
| 09-18 09:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.05 |
| 09-16 17:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 09-14 09:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 14? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.17 |
| 09-11 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.32 |
| 09-10 12:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-10 12:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 10? | BUY | 0.207 | $2.07 |
| 09-10 09:11 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-10 07:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.01 |
| 09-04 08:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 08-29 12:15 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.177 | $3.54 |
| 08-27 04:50 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.442 | $2.65 |
| 08-26 08:47 | Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 08-26 08:45 | Will USD fall to 1.8M Iranian rials by August 31? | SELL | 0.02141 | $1.07 |
| 08-13 12:34 | Will USD fall to 1.8M Iranian rials by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.50 |