PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DOGWIFHAT

0xa8da826aec6f2b90700eeafbc911ca29ddcbf944

Realised P&L
$12.1k
Volume
$1.25M
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$16.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.7590.946$5.2k+$1.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5260.365$2.4k$1.1k
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7250.935$2.3k+$516.63
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.5690.280$2.1k$2.1k
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.8870.956$1.7k+$119.01
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.540$1.1k+$818.05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.725$557.69+$57.69
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6540.589$471.20$51.90
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5330.115$466.93$1.7k
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4200.835$463.42+$230.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 03:02Colts vs. ChiefsBUY0.3399999989$100.00
09-16 16:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$1.0k
09-15 00:48Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.4499999998$300.00
09-11 01:3849ers vs. RamsBUY0.529999998$50.00
09-11 00:4049ers vs. RamsBUY0.589999998$100.00
09-11 00:3449ers vs. RamsBUY0.6499999994$300.00
09-10 03:19Patriots vs. SeahawksSELL0.47$1.2k
09-10 01:07Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.27$500.00
09-10 01:03Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.4399999999$300.00
09-07 23:34Washington Nationals vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.9785466009$1000.00
09-07 23:33Washington Nationals vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.95$50.00
09-07 23:10Washington Nationals vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.8499999999$1000.00
08-20 05:19Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.5499999996$500.00
08-04 14:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8399999999$1000.00
08-04 05:20Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.6699999992$739.00