DOGWIFHAT
0xa8da826aec6f2b90700eeafbc911ca29ddcbf944
- Realised P&L
- $12.1k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $16.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.759 | 0.946 | $5.2k | +$1.0k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.365 | $2.4k | −$1.1k |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.725 | 0.935 | $2.3k | +$516.63 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.280 | $2.1k | −$2.1k |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.887 | 0.956 | $1.7k | +$119.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.540 | $1.1k | +$818.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.725 | $557.69 | +$57.69 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.589 | $471.20 | −$51.90 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.533 | 0.115 | $466.93 | −$1.7k |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.420 | 0.835 | $463.42 | +$230.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.833Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$6.2kat 0.777Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
- +$3.8kat 0.314Patriots vs. Seahawks
- +$3.2kat 0.132Packers vs. Bears
- +$2.4kat 0.986Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:02 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 16:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.0k |
| 09-15 00:48 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.4499999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 01:38 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 00:40 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 00:34 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $300.00 |
| 09-10 03:19 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | SELL | 0.47 | $1.2k |
| 09-10 01:07 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.27 | $500.00 |
| 09-10 01:03 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-07 23:34 | Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.9785466009 | $1000.00 |
| 09-07 23:33 | Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 23:10 | Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-20 05:19 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 14:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999992 | $739.00 |