jhzmkhgjmr
0xa8d73205db452c283b9bd8ff868f3369bcf11197
- Realised P&L
- $-358.84
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $99.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27? · No | 0.987 | 0.991 | $99.05 | +$0.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? · No | 0.975 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.75 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.07at 0.945Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?
- +$14.06at 0.947Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
- +$9.99at 0.991Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$8.36at 0.951Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
- +$4.93at 0.950Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 15-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 11:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $349.65 |
| 04-19 13:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | SELL | 0.977 | $335.11 |
| 04-05 14:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $309.22 |
| 03-27 10:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.987 | $291.17 |
| 03-20 13:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? | BUY | 0.991 | $275.50 |
| 03-18 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.979 | $44.31 |
| 03-14 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.986 | $272.14 |
| 03-12 12:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.995 | $184.07 |
| 03-12 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.994 | $86.48 |
| 03-11 14:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.988 | $85.95 |
| 02-27 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27? | BUY | 0.9611349784 | $80.00 |