On9Chasiu
0xa8d6ac89af35631f1be5845410f2e22d9a26af94
- Realised P&L
- $-28.7k
- Volume
- $602.4k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? · No | 0.900 | 0.967 | $1.3k | +$92.87 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No | 0.800 | 0.675 | $623.70 | −$115.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.981 | $454.20 | −$5.09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No | 0.750 | 0.485 | $145.50 | −$79.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$890.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$346.27at 0.851Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$236.52at 0.908Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
- +$158.30at 0.953Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
- +$146.61at 0.938Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
- +$145.04at 0.943Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $459.30 |
| 10-06 20:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.75 | $225.00 |
| 10-02 07:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.8 | $739.20 |
| 10-02 07:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.3k |
| 10-02 07:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.989 | $499.44 |
| 10-02 07:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9955 | $9.96 |
| 09-23 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.49231202 | $1.2k |
| 09-23 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.982784 | $2.5k |
| 09-22 18:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $380.73 |
| 09-22 18:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.8k |
| 09-22 16:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $982.00 |
| 09-22 16:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 09-22 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.09 |
| 09-22 16:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.55 | $15.95 |
| 09-21 18:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.993 | $66.49 |