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Traders

FishyAF

0xa8d2776014f3eb99b6c208d3daa22d9014b6d6d2

Realised P&L
$-6.7k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
375
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded375
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.8501.000$7.5k+$1.1k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0180.961$1.0k+$1.0k
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.6500.954$381.60+$121.60
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · Yes0.4890.845$357.46+$150.35
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · No0.4710.920$290.39+$141.76
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.5100.963$192.50+$90.50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.4900.959$191.69+$93.70
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · No0.6300.945$138.91+$46.30
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.83
Texans vs. Seahawks · Texans0.0100.000$0.00$90.42
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$99.28
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00$3.4k
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0760.000$0.00$13.4k
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$400.80
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 04:09Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0179590821$17.46
03-24 16:23Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.65$137.15
03-24 16:22OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.4892912562$201.17
03-18 16:13Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?BUY0.99$99.00
02-09 18:24Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.51$29.84
01-27 23:39Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.63$92.61
01-27 23:38Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?BUY0.4708896211$148.63
01-20 01:43Spread: Indiana (-7.5)BUY0.58$58.00
01-19 21:41Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?BUY0.8940425079$470.70
01-18 07:04Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.85$4.3k
01-18 07:04Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.85$38.66
01-18 07:04Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8486708$2.1k
12-25 19:16Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.1$135.00
12-24 21:41Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?BUY0.01$1.13
12-22 16:53MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.013$12.09
Trader FishyAF · PolyBot Pro