PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa8cc798B4478f2DF50aEcD51fB0F5DC8dE63015B-1771310814355

0xa8cc798b4478f2df50aecd51fb0f5dc8de63015b

Realised P&L
$-489.58
Volume
$503.3k
Markets traded
990
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded990
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7110.695$437.79$10.21
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8880.888$373.17+$0.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 · Over0.4600.480$236.21+$9.84
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3310.305$165.30$13.89
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · Yes0.3740.355$156.19$8.53
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.9430.926$92.61$1.68
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8900.885$88.50$0.50
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.8800.895$87.71+$1.47
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8800.875$87.50$0.50
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4690.355$83.92$26.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.6410.445$74.92$32.98
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · No0.9390.941$70.44+$0.11
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.7370.645$70.31$10.06
Will Arizona Cardinals finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? · No0.8800.865$51.90$0.90
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.4290.501$46.52+$6.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.25$1.25
08-03 01:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.25$1.25
08-03 01:20Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.25$3.65
08-03 00:28Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?BUY0.12$2.40
08-03 00:25Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?SELL0.66$3.95
08-02 01:52Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?BUY0.43$5.71
08-02 01:40Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?BUY0.951$9.51
08-02 01:40Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?BUY0.951$9.51
08-02 01:34Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.89$89.00
08-02 01:31Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.88$88.00
08-02 01:12Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?BUY0.1$4.00
08-01 03:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$643.52
08-01 00:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 1?BUY0.94$18.79
07-30 23:34Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?BUY0.94$20.67
07-30 03:28Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.91$25.48