0xa8cc798B4478f2DF50aEcD51fB0F5DC8dE63015B-1771310814355
0xa8cc798b4478f2df50aecd51fb0f5dc8de63015b
- Realised P&L
- $-489.58
- Volume
- $503.3k
- Markets traded
- 990
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded990
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$963.00at 0.550Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
- +$655.23at 0.586Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?
- +$519.70at 0.412Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
- +$499.61at 0.510Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
- +$428.13at 0.420Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.65 |
| 08-03 00:28 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 00:25 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.95 |
| 08-02 01:52 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.71 |
| 08-02 01:40 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 08-02 01:40 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 08-02 01:34 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 08-02 01:31 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 08-02 01:12 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 03:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $643.52 |
| 08-01 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 07-30 23:34 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.94 | $20.67 |
| 07-30 03:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.91 | $25.48 |