PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa8cc798B4478f2DF50aEcD51fB0F5DC8dE63015B-1771310814355

0xa8cc798b4478f2df50aecd51fb0f5dc8de63015b

Realised P&L
$-999.81
Volume
$623.2k
Markets traded
1,535
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,535
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oregon have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.8930.880$246.16−$3.65
Will Arizona State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7190.805$215.47+$23.14
Will Kansas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.8270.920$194.40+$19.55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4690.295$193.52−$114.29
Will Oklahoma have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.8510.915$190.30+$13.33
Will LSU make College Football Playoff Semifinals? · No0.8190.670$183.83−$40.90
Will Washington State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.9710.940$170.14−$5.54
Will Clemson have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.9020.895$152.36−$1.17
Will Florida St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9350.965$144.68+$4.42
Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 4.50.9460.967$135.48+$2.98
Will C.J. Stroud have 28.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7810.700$111.13−$12.93
Will California have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.9290.925$105.05−$0.42
Will Clemson have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.8470.868$101.32+$2.35
Will Oklahoma have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7290.735$95.34+$0.75
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5880.480$92.33−$20.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:20Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?SELL0.175$8.75
11-01 08:46Will Oklahoma have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.91$65.39
11-01 08:33Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?BUY0.099$11.88
11-01 08:33Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?BUY0.086$17.29
11-01 06:09Will Fresno State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.9958823529$253.95
11-01 06:04Will Texas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.985$98.51
11-01 05:22Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.51$10.20
11-01 03:31Northern Illinois vs. UNLV: O/U 47.5BUY0.979$52.87
11-01 03:13Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference?BUY0.16$19.22
11-01 03:02Will Missouri have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.99$56.43
11-01 03:00Ohio State vs. USC: O/U 55.5SELL0.931$47.43
11-01 02:49Ohio State vs. USC: O/U 55.5SELL0.91$22.75
11-01 02:48Ohio State vs. USC: O/U 51.5SELL0.71$18.20
11-01 02:47Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.9694736842$92.10
11-01 02:47Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.95$19.00