PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa8cc798B4478f2DF50aEcD51fB0F5DC8dE63015B-1771310814355

0xa8cc798b4478f2df50aecd51fb0f5dc8de63015b

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$567.2k
Markets traded
1,195
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,195
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oregon have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.9900.991$346.68+$0.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No0.7850.805$346.16+$8.52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4810.405$238.14$44.51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.7001.000$209.87+$62.89
Will Rutgers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.8980.945$177.12+$8.83
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2640.195$161.85$57.65
Will Colorado State have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.8420.855$140.22+$2.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8860.925$132.25+$5.62
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.7240.865$116.78+$18.97
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.0400.024$112.74$79.00
Will Colorado have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7790.725$108.75$8.15
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6070.675$91.81+$9.29
Will Fresno State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.8040.775$86.80$3.28
Will the season series between the Dolphins and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5190.475$67.11$6.26
Will Cincinnati have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · U 5.50.5850.485$65.96$13.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:13Will Arizona State Sun Devils Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?BUY0.06$3.30
09-16 09:13Will Arizona State Sun Devils Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?BUY0.059$1.77
09-15 05:38Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.47$1.06
09-14 23:14Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.41$15.58
09-14 11:07Will San Diego State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.81$11.49
09-14 01:57Will Oregon have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.9898571429$346.45
09-13 12:26Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.38$19.38
09-13 03:19Will Army have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.983$19.66
09-13 03:19Will Army have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.954$19.08
09-13 03:19Will Army have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.9527668712$24.85
09-13 03:19Will Army have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.93$38.13
09-13 03:182026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.5$125.00
09-13 03:15Will Ohio St. have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.98$4.90
09-13 03:08Will Navy have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.9860935183$82.46
09-13 03:03Will Ohio St. have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.89$17.80