Luksa22
0xa8ca05c80523960906358f53ce2d34d66b43543d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.18
- Volume
- $118.28
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.013 | $0.88 | −$1.62 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.147 | $0.85 | +$0.04 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.97at 0.572Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 05:44 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.81 |
| 08-13 19:54 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0354201562 | $2.50 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.03 | $0.05 |
| 07-19 19:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 21:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |