PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA8C8bcF04B230f4DF5D2b9dEd39fed4C76B2B823-1768559568828

0xa8c8bcf04b230f4df5d2b9ded39fed4c76b2b823

Realised P&L
$101.13
Volume
$89.4k
Markets traded
2,502
Open portfolio
$321.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,502
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on September 18? · No0.9901.000$50.47+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on September 18? · No0.9901.000$50.47+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on September 19? · No0.9900.990$49.99+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? · No0.7570.880$34.49+$4.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 19? · No0.9901.000$25.19+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19? · No0.9660.980$25.09+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20? · No0.9900.980$24.70$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? · No0.9200.855$18.47$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20? · No0.9400.975$10.34+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 20? · No0.9800.985$10.21+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20? · No0.9900.985$9.95$0.05
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? · No0.8600.994$4.97+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 19? · No0.9600.995$4.61+$0.16
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2400.225$2.25$0.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31? · No0.0900.000$0.00$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.94$9.96
09-18 15:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.99$10.00
09-18 15:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.97$14.74
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.98$10.16
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.99$24.95
09-18 06:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on September 19?BUY0.99$49.99
09-18 04:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.7533333333$11.30
09-17 15:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.96$9.98
09-17 15:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.989$14.93
09-17 15:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.9853642384$14.88
09-17 15:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.99$24.95
09-17 15:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.96$4.45
09-17 00:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.98$19.80
09-16 15:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.98$9.99
09-16 15:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.97$14.74