Byebyedoggy
0xa8c1c0b363ebf7c364262970d754563ab04ced11
- Realised P&L
- $-68.00
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $127.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.969 | $127.70 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.96at 0.975Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 30?
- +$6.28at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?
- +$6.21at 0.982Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 23?
- +$5.38at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?
- +$5.20at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9874206897 | $150.33 |
| 07-28 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $43.78 |
| 07-25 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 07-25 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $127.18 |
| 07-25 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $75.32 |
| 07-24 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.95 | $81.70 |
| 07-24 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $85.14 |
| 07-24 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.9770833333 | $117.25 |
| 07-23 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.98183745 | $196.37 |
| 07-23 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.979052544 | $135.28 |
| 07-23 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 07-22 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 07-22 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 07-15 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.9492406075 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.98 |