amyraut64
0xa8bedc458da906216729fb03cf2e4655ace3487a
- Realised P&L
- $1.96
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $161.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.47at 0.290Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 31?
- +$17.78at 0.360Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 30?
- +$16.32at 0.380Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 29?
- +$3.89at 0.720Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 28?
- +$3.33at 0.750Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.41 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1924327722 | $27.55 |
| 08-03 16:06 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.19 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.12 |
| 08-02 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.4837923449 | $11.00 |
| 08-01 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.054950495 | $1.66 |
| 07-31 16:00 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.82 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 15:56 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.00 |