amyraut64
0xa8bedc458da906216729fb03cf2e4655ace3487a
- Realised P&L
- $29.93
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $12.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.41at 0.177Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?
- +$41.49at 0.161Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 7?
- +$39.00at 0.512Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8?
- +$26.67at 0.280Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 4?
- +$24.12at 0.300Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.54 | $36.11 |
| 09-13 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.22 |
| 09-12 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 13? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 09-11 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 12? | BUY | 0.62 | $15.55 |
| 09-10 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 11? | BUY | 0.53 | $22.79 |
| 09-07 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 8? | BUY | 0.6 | $14.24 |
| 09-06 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.88 |
| 09-05 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 6? | BUY | 0.55 | $13.72 |
| 09-04 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.65 |
| 09-02 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.12 |
| 08-31 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 1? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.11 |
| 08-30 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.84 |
| 08-28 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 29? | BUY | 0.53 | $15.23 |