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Traders

Luck1031

0xa8b88e63424685b8c404be415ce465afad93b102

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$115.5k
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$486.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? · Yes0.3211.000$122.80+$83.37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.5331.000$67.62+$31.56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? · Yes0.5121.000$63.52+$30.95
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? · Yes0.5970.600$36.21+$0.18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.6990.995$34.21+$10.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 11? · Yes0.3591.000$31.41+$20.14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 14? · No0.8201.000$26.51+$4.76
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 14? · Yes0.6561.000$21.72+$7.48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11? · Yes0.5611.000$20.97+$9.21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? · Yes0.3800.425$20.86+$2.21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.8241.000$18.59+$3.27
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.2100.255$10.20+$1.80
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15? · Yes0.6101.000$9.00+$3.51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26? · Yes0.2700.175$3.03−$1.65
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.1600.002$0.04−$3.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.6899999701$6.23
09-25 06:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.38$3.80
09-25 05:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.16$2.56
09-25 05:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?BUY0.2699999896$4.68
09-25 05:24Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.48$6.55
09-25 05:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?SELL0.17$1.04
09-25 05:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.3799999939$14.85
09-25 05:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?SELL0.2$0.86
09-25 04:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.6119420968$4.83
09-25 03:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.32$1.00
09-25 03:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.6299999934$15.33
09-25 03:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.6099999633$1.33
09-25 03:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.5899999749$6.59
09-25 03:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.3003390828$1.20
09-25 01:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.3399999948$1.32