mikebetsss
0xa8b7b6d721b68e86a6625802ed3bd78f6fd496c9
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $200.00
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $154.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 50%-55%? · No | 0.820 | 0.820 | $41.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%? · No | 0.800 | 0.695 | $34.75 | −$5.25 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%? · No | 0.850 | 0.685 | $34.25 | −$8.25 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.350 | $17.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.310 | $15.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.190 | $9.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat? · No | 0.056 | 0.042 | $2.10 | −$0.70 |