0xa8b29d5ba8fb2fe5641a3df55399d57ad25279dd
- Realised P&L
- $-89.03
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 720
- Open portfolio
- $14.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded720
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? · Up | 0.510 | 0.305 | $14.05 | −$9.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.80at 0.111Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$74.12at 0.351Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$72.93at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$72.61at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$66.22at 0.382Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.5099999948 | $23.49 |
| 09-19 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.14 |
| 09-18 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? | BUY | 0.5199999965 | $23.50 |
| 09-18 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $88.74 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5299999981 | $47.08 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5299999921 | $23.54 |
| 09-16 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $115.05 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.5099999982 | $58.74 |
| 09-14 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.5199999969 | $47.04 |
| 09-13 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.5199999912 | $23.52 |
| 09-13 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $110.89 |
| 09-12 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.53 | $58.83 |
| 09-11 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | BUY | 0.5223445647 | $47.08 |
| 09-10 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $23.47 |
| 09-10 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.89 |