0xa8afb05ce93e794fd3d0ef74041c522e67693825
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $12.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-07 House seat? · No | 0.900 | 0.966 | $11.25 | +$0.76 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.957 | $1.32 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.748Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
- +$0.07at 0.913Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?