0xa8a126d14898bfc0d7ef62c870cc7d7b8ab22c5a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.09
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $117.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.775 | $117.48 | −$25.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.18at 0.963MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$2.55at 0.980Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.47at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.65at 0.993Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16?
- +$0.52at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:19 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $142.49 |
| 05-26 13:18 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $140.83 |
| 05-02 01:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $138.96 |
| 03-31 05:12 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.963 | $134.82 |
| 03-31 05:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $133.87 |
| 03-18 23:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.98 | $131.32 |
| 03-17 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 03-16 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16? | BUY | 0.993 | $129.09 |
| 03-16 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 03-15 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.27 |
| 03-15 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $131.60 |