lunarshadow1
0xa89cff599d0a0c2ee13bf1bd078990d0b56e9163
- Realised P&L
- $-79.29
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,064
- Open portfolio
- $55.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,064
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.12at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?
- +$16.03at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?
- +$11.50at 0.233Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$11.40at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$10.92at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Will Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.12 |
| 08-04 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 08-04 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-03 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-03 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 08-03 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-03 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 08-03 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-03 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 08-03 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-03 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |