lunarshadow1
0xa89cff599d0a0c2ee13bf1bd078990d0b56e9163
- Realised P&L
- $-206.47
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,279
- Open portfolio
- $104.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,279
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.12at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?
- +$16.03at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?
- +$12.79at 0.222Solana Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$11.88at 0.208Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?
- +$11.73at 0.218Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:28 | Solana Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5999999625 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.972 | $4.86 |
| 09-22 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-22 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-22 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.40 |
| 09-22 06:52 | Solana Up or Down - September 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 05:42 | Solana Up or Down - September 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999921 | $3.45 |
| 09-22 05:35 | Solana Up or Down - September 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999559 | $3.05 |
| 09-22 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-22 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-22 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-22 03:59 | Solana Up or Down - September 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999717 | $3.45 |
| 09-22 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 09-22 03:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-22 03:16 | Solana Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |