PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lunarshadow1

0xa89cff599d0a0c2ee13bf1bd078990d0b56e9163

Realised P&L
$-79.29
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
2,064
Open portfolio
$55.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,064
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? · Yes0.5000.999$5.99+$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? · No0.8101.000$5.00+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? · No0.7800.999$4.99+$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? · No0.9600.945$4.72$0.07
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yes0.7600.905$4.53+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? · No0.7900.905$4.53+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? · No0.7500.870$4.35+$0.60
Halle Berry as Storm? · No0.6300.775$3.88+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.6900.710$3.55+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? · No0.7200.665$3.33$0.27
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.6600.650$3.25$0.05
Will Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-04? · No0.5200.515$3.09$0.03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3200.360$1.80+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.5100.190$1.14$1.92
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 4? · No0.6400.185$0.93$2.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.54$3.24
08-04 04:28Will Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.52$3.12
08-04 01:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.81$4.05
08-04 01:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.5$3.00
08-03 22:38Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.66$3.30
08-03 22:15Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.64$3.20
08-03 22:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.79$3.95
08-03 22:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.69$3.45
08-03 21:33Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.78$3.90
08-03 17:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.75$3.75
08-03 17:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.96$4.80
08-03 17:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.72$3.60
08-03 16:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.51$3.06
08-03 06:35Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.93$4.65
08-03 06:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.93$4.65