PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Tof

0xa894f858d645ceaeea7ff3b4328674636f94fb52

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$170.4k
Markets traded
273
Open portfolio
$220.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded273
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8500.865$200.68+$3.48
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3200.280$18.82$2.69
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0940.136$1.44+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-03 20:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.7899999956$25.00
08-01 18:12Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.85$197.20
07-31 22:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSELL0.0772360894$2.97
07-31 22:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-31 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSELL0.1$20.47
07-31 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.122148762$25.00
07-31 21:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.32$100.00
07-31 21:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.309999998$100.00
07-31 21:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSELL0.3752882224$99.61
07-31 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.3767486572$100.00
07-31 21:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSELL0.1042465642$38.61
07-31 21:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.2699999983$100.00
07-31 21:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSELL0.53$101.92
07-31 21:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.5199999983$100.00