Tof
0xa894f858d645ceaeea7ff3b4328674636f94fb52
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $170.4k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $220.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.865 | $200.68 | +$3.48 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.280 | $18.82 | −$2.69 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.136 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$562.48at 0.250Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$308.81at 0.445Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$288.98at 0.147Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$272.69at 0.210Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$222.58at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 18:12 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $197.20 |
| 07-31 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.0772360894 | $2.97 |
| 07-31 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $20.47 |
| 07-31 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.122148762 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | SELL | 0.3752882224 | $99.61 |
| 07-31 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3767486572 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.1042465642 | $38.61 |
| 07-31 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $101.92 |
| 07-31 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |