PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tof

0xa894f858d645ceaeea7ff3b4328674636f94fb52

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$178.8k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$73.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0080.007$46.88−$3.13
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3200.295$19.82−$1.68
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0060.003$4.50−$4.50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0940.162$1.72+$0.72
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.035$0.49−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:16Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.008$50.00
10-28 14:16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.006$0.00
10-06 08:57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1699999995$50.00
10-06 08:57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1699999997$20.00
10-03 16:50Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.08$1.00
08-28 15:39Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-28 00:02Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?BUY0.09$1.08
08-21 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-21 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.1399999888$10.00
08-18 23:10Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?SELL0.04$40.03
08-18 10:54Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?BUY0.08$25.00
08-16 19:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.2089998782$1.00
08-12 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.4299999979$50.00
08-12 02:26Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7309999968$50.00
08-11 23:45Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?BUY0.1452708515$100.00