0xA8901deDB08554f3Bfc937D79408661329C731Ba-1772191897914
0xa8901dedb08554f3bfc937d79408661329c731ba
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $59.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $592.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.53at 0.190US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$143.88at 0.560Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$129.37at 0.500Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$102.68at 0.710Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
- +$91.22at 0.520Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 22:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 20:52 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $141.38 |
| 10-23 16:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 21:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $117.39 |
| 10-08 19:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 19:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $110.71 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.3859184493 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 07:11 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.7319485654 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 21:11 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 15:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $331.76 |
| 06-23 13:06 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.975 | $132.95 |
| 06-09 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 14:06 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 22:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $9.11 |
| 05-28 18:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.08 |