PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA8901deDB08554f3Bfc937D79408661329C731Ba-1772191897914

0xa8901dedb08554f3bfc937d79408661329c731ba

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$59.2k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$592.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.7320.845$230.89+$30.89
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.3860.722$187.09+$87.09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.715$140.20+$40.20
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.0600.022$18.33−$31.67
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.4300.140$16.28−$33.72
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$100.00
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$25.00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? · Yes0.6170.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$100.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$151.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 22:09NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?BUY0.06$50.00
10-23 20:52NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$141.38
10-23 16:29NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
10-14 21:16NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$117.39
10-08 19:04NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999998$100.00
09-21 19:26NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$110.71
08-29 08:11Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.3859184493$100.00
08-28 07:11Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.7319485654$200.00
08-27 21:11NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999981$100.00
07-23 15:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.94$331.76
06-23 13:06 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.975$132.95
06-09 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.4199999832$5.00
06-09 14:06Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.3799999987$100.00
05-29 22:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?SELL0.041$9.11
05-28 18:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?SELL0.005$0.08