alonl88
0xa882778b683c4a5414c2dac1759b52306b026a9f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.16
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $58.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.48at 0.387Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
- +$138.56at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$66.25at 0.705Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)
- +$53.34at 0.744Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$38.65at 0.343Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:36 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:35 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:35 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:35 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:35 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8519999421 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:35 | Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |