arimnestos
0xa8773169a59633579088933859de3bea41de2e20
- Realised P&L
- $-16.5k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 5,994
- Open portfolio
- $378.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,994
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.570 | 0.545 | $190.21 | −$8.72 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.295 | $100.59 | −$90.36 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.490 | 0.490 | $37.73 | +$0.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.450 | 0.405 | $22.68 | −$2.52 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Boston Red Sox | 0.660 | 0.495 | $10.03 | −$3.34 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.017 | $7.00 | +$1.46 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.490 | 0.530 | $3.18 | +$0.24 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.535 | $2.67 | +$0.17 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.510 | 0.455 | $2.32 | −$0.28 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.380 | $1.90 | −$0.50 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros · Minnesota Twins | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca · Roberto Bautista Agut | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.17 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.76 |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner · Deep Cross Gaming | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.460BNP Paribas Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Ashlyn Krueger
- +$1.6kat 0.479Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.490Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
- +$1.4kat 0.500Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens
- +$1.4kat 0.500Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:54 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-01 17:52 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'Connell | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-26 02:35 | Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Borna Gojo vs Aidan Mayo | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-16 14:51 | Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-16 06:20 | Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 07-10 16:26 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-10 16:25 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-10 16:15 | Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-10 16:03 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-10 15:11 | Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 07-10 14:15 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-10 13:35 | Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-10 05:31 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-10 01:45 | Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 07-10 01:41 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |