PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arimnestos

0xa8773169a59633579088933859de3bea41de2e20

Realised P&L
$-16.8k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
5,994
Open portfolio
$27.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,994
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays0.4500.425$23.80$1.40
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0130.008$3.39$2.15
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros · Minnesota Twins0.5200.000$0.00$2.60
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca · Roberto Bautista Agut0.1900.000$0.00$2.17
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox0.3600.000$0.00$1.80
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers0.4600.000$0.00$2.76
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner · Deep Cross Gaming0.3800.000$0.00$37.62
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees0.5800.000$0.00$2.90
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays0.4250.000$0.00$5.10
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif · Mayar Sherif0.6100.000$0.00$3.05
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Leyre Romero Gormaz · Leyre Romero Gormaz0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winner · EDward Gaming0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00$156.57
Valorant: Division One vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage · Division One0.4900.000$0.00$2.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:54Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor FritzBUY0.61$3.05
08-01 17:52Canadian Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'ConnellBUY0.38$1.90
07-26 02:35Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Borna Gojo vs Aidan MayoBUY0.51$2.55
07-16 14:51Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliBUY0.56$2.80
07-16 06:20Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir KecmanovicBUY0.45$2.25
07-10 16:26Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.48$2.40
07-10 16:25Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.49$2.45
07-10 16:15Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaBUY0.66$3.30
07-10 16:03Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.51$2.55
07-10 15:11Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary StoianaBUY0.47$2.35
07-10 14:15Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.59$2.95
07-10 13:35Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.48$2.40
07-10 05:31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?BUY0.52$2.60
07-10 01:45Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)BUY0.37$1.85
07-10 01:41Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5BUY0.46$2.30