0xa875a2a25e6b953dded9ecf39e4677f2b4ed2957
0xa875a2a25e6b953dded9ecf39e4677f2b4ed2957
- Realised P&L
- $-6.51
- Volume
- $262.73
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $9.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.445 | $2.61 | +$0.32 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · No | 0.390 | 0.480 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.605 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.805 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? · No | 0.480 | 0.510 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.345 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.590 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.205 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.03at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$4.01at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.53at 0.480Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.43at 0.490Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:41 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:41 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:48 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:44 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:07 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2599999796 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 22:42 | Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4799999329 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 02:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:04 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6699998917 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999446 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 09:41 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999858 | $2.29 |