Hkeeb9111
0xa87202c71588853f855bd5f7c68ab8ef51f8c2f0
- Realised P&L
- $-34.65
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $72.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.075 | $70.95 | −$32.41 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.155 | $0.93 | −$0.63 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.005 | $0.14 | −$3.95 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.84 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.75 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.12 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.58at 0.217Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$70.74at 0.351Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.85at 0.096Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
- +$30.98at 0.345Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$26.55at 0.194Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 13:12 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.25 |
| 09-04 10:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $14.32 |
| 09-03 09:22 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.41 |
| 09-01 16:37 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.55 |
| 08-31 03:44 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.042236903 | $14.42 |
| 08-30 08:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.77 |
| 08-29 14:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.56 |
| 08-29 14:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.26 |
| 08-29 14:05 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $22.80 |
| 07-29 19:34 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.116 | $1.37 |
| 07-29 17:40 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.46 |
| 07-29 17:28 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.77 |
| 07-29 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.69 |
| 07-28 17:36 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.66 |
| 07-28 15:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.06 |