Aal1438
0xa871d69c953f488acb74beaaa36b07c6690bfea5
- Realised P&L
- $-11.80
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $14.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.04at 0.081Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$55.38at 0.128Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$44.95at 0.373US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$21.15at 0.667Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$17.73at 0.350Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:02 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:01 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.97 |
| 10-10 14:00 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | BUY | 0.4130434783 | $9.50 |
| 09-23 02:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 01:41 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.76 |
| 09-11 23:53 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0879999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 22:56 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.6003243081 | $160.08 |
| 09-10 00:40 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | SELL | 0.05 | $5.36 |
| 09-10 00:01 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 14:48 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3909999934 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 06:20 | Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.2060239861 | $26.11 |