0xa8717a0f41b0dbfd6488b40523fd61f9e33ea708
0xa8717a0f41b0dbfd6488b40523fd61f9e33ea708
- Realised P&L
- $3.40
- Volume
- $231.57
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $8.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.981 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.470 | 0.715 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? · Down | 0.330 | 0.470 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.855 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.525 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.370 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.615 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.258Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.89at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.93at 0.349Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.91at 0.450Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 10:30 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 02:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:30 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:21 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 12:59 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:31 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |