PolyBot

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Traders

0xa8705aa18d4be7d53e2a28fe8d8e13a1bb51398f

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$9.99

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8500.955$6.74+$0.74
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.2000.125$1.88−$1.13
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.055$1.38−$4.38
Will F1 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.20
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? · No0.9220.000$0.00−$13.40
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$3.10
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$4.20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$2.30
Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.35
Will Trump visit China by October 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$4.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down0.2420.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2025 NL MVP? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.34
"The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60 · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 11:32US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.995$10.00
09-14 16:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9649999973$3.56
09-08 16:55LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY0.9399999887$10.00
09-02 05:48Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?BUY0.779999974$4.20
08-21 23:45NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.96$6.00
08-08 19:16Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?BUY0.9519999916$4.55
08-02 15:51Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.95$2.00
08-02 15:41Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?BUY0.6099999402$2.55
07-25 15:49Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9459998874$6.25
07-25 15:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.99$8.00
07-17 09:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?BUY0.9589999882$3.00
07-06 19:17Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.9199999928$5.12
06-29 10:47Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.9819999997$5.71
06-23 08:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?BUY0.9629999935$4.42
06-16 12:34Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
Trader 0xa870…398f · PolyBot Pro