0xa8705aa18d4be7d53e2a28fe8d8e13a1bb51398f
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $9.99
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.630Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$2.61at 0.700US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$2.58at 0.570Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
- +$2.39at 0.734Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$1.58at 0.622Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:32 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999973 | $3.56 |
| 09-08 16:55 | LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 05:48 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4? | BUY | 0.779999974 | $4.20 |
| 08-21 23:45 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 19:16 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.9519999916 | $4.55 |
| 08-02 15:51 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:41 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.6099999402 | $2.55 |
| 07-25 15:49 | Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9459998874 | $6.25 |
| 07-25 15:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.00 |
| 07-17 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.9589999882 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 19:17 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.9199999928 | $5.12 |
| 06-29 10:47 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999997 | $5.71 |
| 06-23 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.9629999935 | $4.42 |
| 06-16 12:34 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |